Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
LEN
2 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
33%
27%
39%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
NAN
3 - 0
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1982 |
BAS
2 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1982 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
ASN
2 - 1
GIR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
PSG
2 - 3
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
ASN
6 - 0
FCM
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1982 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASN
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1982 |
ASN
2 - 1
LYO
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |