Bastia vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1968 |
GIR
8 - 1
BAS
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
RED
1 - 1
BAS
51%
23%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1968 |
LYO
8 - 3
BAS
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 2
REN
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
FCR
3 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
MON
0 - 0
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1968 |
STR
5 - 0
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1968 |
MON
0 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |