Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
67%
21%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
REI
1 - 1
BAS
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
BRE
64%
23%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
MET
2 - 2
REI
59%
25%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
MET
0 - 2
LIL
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
IST
0 - 0
MET
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MET
1 - 1
VIL
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | -1 |