Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
MET
3 - 2
BAS
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
BAS
0 - 1
SED
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
BAS
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
REN
1 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
ANN
0 - 3
BAS
2%
15%
83%
|
84 | 8 | 76 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
MET
3 - 2
BAS
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
MON
6 - 1
MET
65%
21%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
SED
0 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 2
MET
5%
22%
74%
|
83 | 33 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
MET
2 - 2
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |