Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MON
2 - 1
BAS
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
SOC
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 3
NAN
24%
29%
47%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1985 |
REN
3 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
STR
0 - 0
MET
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
MET
3 - 2
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
MET
0 - 2
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1985 |
SOC
1 - 2
MET
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |