Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
STL
2 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
BAS
2 - 1
TOU
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
STR
0 - 0
BAS
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
LIL
4 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
MET
4 - 2
TOU
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
LYO
3 - 1
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
MET
1 - 1
GIR
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
VAL
2 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |