Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
LIL
3 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
MET
2 - 0
ASN
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
LYO
0 - 0
MET
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
MET
1 - 1
GIR
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
TOU
1 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1980 |
MET
2 - 1
NÎM
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |