Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
ANG
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1971 |
REI
5 - 2
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
LYO
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
SOC
1 - 1
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
MET
2 - 0
REI
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1971 |
LYO
1 - 2
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
MET
1 - 3
AJA
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
VAL
2 - 2
MET
41%
30%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1971 |
MET
3 - 3
SOC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |