Bastia vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 2
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
IST
3 - 2
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 4
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
AMI
1 - 0
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
IST
0 - 2
LMU
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
LMU
0 - 1
TOU
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 0
LMU
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
ARL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
LMU
3 - 2
NAN
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |