Bastia vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
IST
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 0
OLY
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
RED
1 - 2
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
BAS
3 - 1
BOU
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
ASN
2 - 0
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
LMU
1 - 4
NÎM
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
STL
0 - 1
LMU
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1993 |
LMU
1 - 0
VAL
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
NIO
3 - 0
LMU
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
LMU
0 - 1
REN
55%
27%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |