Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1981 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 0
ANG
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1981 |
LYO
2 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 0
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1981 |
LIL
4 - 0
ANG
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
SOC
3 - 0
LIL
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1981 |
NÎM
2 - 1
LIL
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
LIL
0 - 0
ASN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |