Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
SOC
3 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
BAS
3 - 0
NIC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
VAL
5 - 0
BAS
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 1
ANG
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 1
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1980 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
62%
20%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 0
STR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
ANG
2 - 0
LIL
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 1
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |