Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 0
PSG
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1975 |
BAS
4 - 2
SOC
52%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
ASS
3 - 2
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1975 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
LIL
3 - 3
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1975 |
LYO
5 - 1
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
MET
2 - 1
LIL
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |