Bastia vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
EFB
0 - 3
BAS
10%
22%
68%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CBL
0 - 0
BAS
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
LUC
0 - 0
BAS
12%
22%
66%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
GEM
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAS
13%
23%
65%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
IST
1 - 3
GEM
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
IST
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
IST
1 - 1
BAS
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
IST
2 - 0
SCR
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
EFB
2 - 1
IST
8%
15%
77%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -2 |