Bastia vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
IST
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
FCG
4 - 2
BAS
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
STR
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2007 |
AMI
2 - 0
LHA
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
LHA
2 - 2
NIO
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2007 |
MPL
2 - 1
LHA
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
LHA
1 - 2
DIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
MET
1 - 0
LHA
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |