Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
PSG
5 - 1
BAS
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 2
NIC
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCM
3 - 1
BAS
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUX
24%
27%
50%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 0
MPL
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
ROT
2 - 1
GUI
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1996 |
GUI
4 - 0
KAM
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1996 |
KAM
2 - 0
GUI
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
GUI
1 - 0
ZEM
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |