Bastia vs Sète analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 2
BRE
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 4
BAS
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
REI
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
IST
2 - 2
BAS
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sète
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SÈT
2 - 2
CHE
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
SÈT
2 - 0
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 0
SÈT
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SÈT
2 - 2
PAU
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
SÈT
1 - 3
CLE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |