Bastia vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 2
BAS
18%
25%
58%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
PFC
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
BAS
13%
24%
64%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
NIO
71%
20%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 5
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 0
NIO
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
GUI
5 - 0
FCG
85%
12%
4%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FCG
2 - 4
CAN
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCG
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
FCG
78%
16%
6%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |