Bastia vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1993 |
STL
0 - 0
BAS
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASB
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
CHA
3 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
DUN
1 - 0
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
FCG
0 - 2
NÎM
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCG
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
FCG
2 - 2
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
REN
1 - 0
FCG
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
FCG
0 - 0
NIO
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |