Bastia vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 3
BAS
7%
13%
81%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
PFC
1 - 0
BAS
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
LES
1 - 1
BAS
12%
19%
69%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CBA
0 - 4
CLE
3%
9%
89%
|
72 | 14 | 58 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ANG
0 - 1
CLE
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MPL
1 - 0
CLE
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CLE
2 - 2
LEN
29%
25%
45%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
REI
1 - 0
CLE
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |