Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
IST
1 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
CLE
2 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
NÎM
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
NAN
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SED
2 - 0
CAE
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 1
GIR
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LYO
3 - 1
CAE
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CAE
2 - 0
SOC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |