Europa League 1/32
Global 1-0
Bastia vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
4 - 1
GIR
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LYO
0 - 2
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 1
HAL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 1
CHA
68%
21%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
79%
16%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
SLB
4 - 0
CAM
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1997 |
BOA
3 - 2
SLB
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |