Bastia vs Bastelicaccia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
SCR
81%
13%
5%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 4
BAS
14%
24%
63%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
AUB
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
CAE
35%
25%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
BAS
11%
22%
67%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Bastelicaccia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
GEM
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
BAS
76%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LUC
3 - 2
BAS
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SCR
4 - 2
BAS
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 0
EFB
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |