Bastia vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
REN
0 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
LYO
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAS
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 1
NAN
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
AMN
0 - 3
AUX
6%
18%
77%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 0
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
MPL
0 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
GUI
0 - 2
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
TRO
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |