Bastia vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1983 |
SOC
2 - 1
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 3
MET
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
BAS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1983 |
AUX
2 - 2
GIR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
MON
1 - 1
AUX
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
AUX
0 - 0
LEN
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
ASN
3 - 1
AUX
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
AUX
1 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |