Bastia vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAS
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 0
GUI
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
NAN
3 - 1
BAS
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 4
DIJ
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
STL
1 - 1
BAS
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
ARL
3 - 0
IST
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
ARL
1 - 0
SED
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
VAN
0 - 0
ARL
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ARL
1 - 2
TOU
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
ANG
3 - 1
ARL
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |