UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Bastia vs Altay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1998 |
BAS
7 - 0
MAK
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
MAK
1 - 0
BAS
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 1
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
LEN
5 - 1
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 1
MPL
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Altay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1998 |
DIO
0 - 1
ALT
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
ALT
1 - 1
DIO
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1998 |
SHR
3 - 2
ALT
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1998 |
ALT
3 - 1
SHR
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
ANK
2 - 3
ALT
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |