Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
25.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
LHA
2 - 0
BAS
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUS
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
GUI
4 - 0
BAS
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
TOU
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 2
BAS
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 1
BRE
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 0
AJA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 0
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
IST
1 - 4
AJA
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCG
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |