Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AUX
1 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 1
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
LYO
4 - 1
BAS
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AJA
0 - 0
MPL
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TRO
1 - 0
AJA
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
SED
26%
26%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 2
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
0 - 2
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |