Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
STR
2 - 2
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
ASS
6 - 0
BAS
87%
8%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 2
NÎM
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
RED
1 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 1
NIC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
SOC
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
ANG
2 - 0
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
NAN
3 - 0
AJA
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
AJA
0 - 0
LYO
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ANG
1 - 1
AJA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |