Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1969 |
ASS
7 - 2
BAS
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 1
NAN
36%
23%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 0
SOC
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1969 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 0
GIR
35%
23%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 2
REN
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1969 |
LYO
3 - 2
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 0
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
NÎM
3 - 2
AJA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 1
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |