Bastia U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
12º
8º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 84% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
OLY
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 3
BAS
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
IST
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TOU
3 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
AJA
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 2
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ETI
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 0
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |