Bastia U19 vs Monaco U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
79.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
12º
8º
37
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 0
BLA
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IST
4 - 2
BAS
47%
21%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
TOU
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 2
BAS
75%
14%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 0
MON
9%
13%
78%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 3
ETI
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 5
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |