Bastia II vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ROU
0 - 1
BAS
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEA
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NOI
0 - 2
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STG
2 - 2
FLE
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 1
STG
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
EVR
47%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ROU
1 - 3
STG
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
STG
3 - 2
AMN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |