Bastia II vs Noisy-le-Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
BAS
23%
24%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
OIS
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 2
BAS
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
ARR
33%
27%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 1
NOI
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOI
54%
25%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 1
AMI
50%
26%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOI
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |