Bastia II vs Marck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 1
GRA
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
UJA
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOI
0 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRA
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEH
33%
26%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
OIS
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |