Bastia II vs Evry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
STG
3 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
ROU
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 3
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHI
10%
21%
69%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SUD
3 - 0
BAS
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
Evry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ROU
2 - 0
EVR
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EVR
0 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOI
0 - 0
EVR
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
EVR
0 - 5
LUS
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
EVR
0 - 4
CHA
14%
19%
66%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |