Bastia II vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
EVR
2 - 1
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
BOU
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 1
BAS
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
SAI
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
POI
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +4 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 1
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GON
2 - 1
CAE
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 0
FUR
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LEH
1 - 0
CAE
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
QUE
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |