Bastia II vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UJA
2 - 2
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 2
BAS
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAI
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARR
33%
26%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
ARR
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 1
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |