Bastia II vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
10º
56
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAS
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ORL
1 - 1
BAS
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
7 - 0
MAI
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 1
BAS
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
MFC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 6
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VTR
0 - 2
BAL
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAL
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
BRE
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 4
BAL
10%
16%
74%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |