Bastia II vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOU
5 - 3
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAI
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CLE
2 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ILE
3 - 0
BAS
21%
23%
57%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
LIM
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 0
LIM
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 1
AUR
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
DIV
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BOR
4 - 1
AUR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
COU
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |