Bastia Calcio vs Real Forte Querceta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 2
BAS
75%
17%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 2
ACP
12%
21%
67%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SGP
0 - 0
BAS
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 1
CAN
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MPO
2 - 1
BAS
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
USR
0 - 2
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 0
USR
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
USR
1 - 1
SDT
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ACP
1 - 1
USR
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USR
0 - 1
SGP
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |