Bastia Calcio vs San Donato Tavarnelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
3 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
USR
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 2
BAS
75%
17%
9%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 2
ACP
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SGP
0 - 0
BAS
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SDT
2 - 2
SER
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 1
SDT
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 0
MON
51%
22%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
USR
1 - 1
SDT
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 1
ACS
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |