Bastia Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
63.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SER
4 - 1
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
GHI
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 1
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
SCA
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 0
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
PIA
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
USR
1 - 2
MON
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
PIA
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACP
1 - 2
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |