Bastia Calcio vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
67.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 3
BAS
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 2
MAS
9%
19%
73%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VOL
3 - 0
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 2
SDT
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |