Bastia Calcio vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIN
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TUT
2 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SER
4 - 1
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
GHI
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 0
MPO
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MPO
4 - 1
USR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
MPO
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MPO
3 - 1
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SDT
2 - 1
MPO
29%
28%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |