Bastia Calcio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
POM
1 - 1
BAS
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 5
ACA
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
SPO
19%
24%
57%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MPO
0 - 0
FOL
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
FOL
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 0
SDT
9%
19%
72%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | +4 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 1
UST
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +1 |