Bastia Calcio vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SIN
2 - 0
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
TUT
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
BAS
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 2
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 4
GRA
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TUT
2 - 2
ACA
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAN
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SER
2 - 0
ACA
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 0
SIN
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |