Bassin d'Arcachon Sud vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 3
BRE
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 3
COG
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
4 - 0
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LES
0 - 1
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 1
TRE
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GOB
3 - 1
SAU
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAU
3 - 1
ANG
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAU
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAU
3 - 1
BLO
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |