Bassin d'Arcachon Sud vs Mérignac-Arlac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BIA
2 - 1
BAS
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 3
FAB
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
BAS
76%
17%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 3
LEG
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ROD
3 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
POI
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
AVI
2 - 2
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |